Shiller’s work is a cornerstone of behavioral finance, emphasizing that investors are not always the "rational actors" assumed by traditional economic models. Irrational Exuberance: Revised and Expanded Third Edition
: Investors often remember the purchase price from years ago and are surprised by the current value, failing to account for the fact that most of the gain is explained by inflation. Irrational Exuberance 3rd edition
: Critics have debated whether traditional valuation indicators like the CAPE ratio are still absolute predictors, but Shiller maintains that ignoring structural long-term value is a risk for any serious investor. 3. The Role of Behavioral Finance Shiller’s work is a cornerstone of behavioral finance,
: He illustrates that price patterns often bear little relation to actual construction costs, interest rates, or population growth, pointing instead to sentiment-driven bubbles. 2. Valuations and the CAPE Ratio Valuations and the CAPE Ratio
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